Last week brought significant market volatility with the S&P 500 
SPY Suffering from substantial weekly losses despite a solid Friday rebound. The implementation by President Donald Trump of new prices has dominated the feeling of the market, the European Union and other trade partners announcing reprisal measures. The resulting trade tensions weighed heavily on the export sectors while lifting concerns about the potential impacts of inflation.
Here are 5 things to look at this week on the market.
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Felful decision and size
The declaration of the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday (FOMC) at 2 p.m., followed by President Powell’s press conference, represents this week’s most consecutive market event. Although no rate change is expected, the economic projections updated from the Fed and the dot intrigue will provide crucial information on the monetary policy for the rest of 2025. The markets will focus particularly on the fact that those responsible maintain their prudent position on inflation or show increased confidence in its descending trajectory. Any change in the number or scheduled calendar of rate drops could trigger significant market movements, with sectors sensitive to rates such as public services, real estate and financial services that have potentially seen disproportionate reactions.
The NVIDIA GTC event
Tuesday nvidia 
Nvda The GTC conference at the conference at 1 p.m. HE, with CEO Jensen Huang, could have a significant impact on the broader feeling of the AI story and technological sector. Analysts predict the unveiling of the NVIDIA new generation GB300 AI chip, as well as the progress of agentic AI, robotics and accelerated IT. Given the central role of NVIDIA in the BOOM of AI and its disproportionate influence on the feeling of the market, all the advertisements of important products or performance could create volatility in AI actions. The market reaction could extend beyond flea manufacturers to include AI infrastructure, cloud suppliers and potential AI application companies.
Triple witch expiration
Friday, marks the expiration of the triple spell in March when the purchase options, the term contracts on the stock market index and the stock market index options all expire simultaneously. This quarterly event generally provides high trading volumes and potential volatility, especially in the last hours of negotiation. Expiration can lead to a complex positioning by institutional traders and increased market movements because the important positions are adjusted or forward. Individual actions with open substantial options may see increased volatility, while wider market clues could feel effects to “pin” the main prices from start to expiration.
Retail data
The retail report on Monday at 8:30 am will provide new information on consumer expenses. Following recent mixed signals on consumer resilience, these data are gaining additional importance to assess the economic momentum. A stronger than expected report could alleviate concerns about economic slowdown, potentially benefiting from the discretionary consumption sectors. Conversely, the weakness of retail sales could fuel growth problems, in particular if the discretionary categories show significant reductions. The market will focus not only on the title number but also on the composition of expenses in different retail categories for a more nuanced vision of consumer behavior.
Housing market indicators
This week provides several important readings on the housing market, including Tuesday housing departures and the construction of data permit to build at 8:30 am, followed by the report on existing home sales from Thursday at 10 a.m. The mortgage rates remaining high despite recent modest drops, these indicators will help to assess how the housing sector addresses the challenges of affordability. Given the important role of housing in the broader economy and its sensitivity to interest rates, these reports could influence expectations concerning economic growth and consumer health. House manufacturers and retail actions related to housing could see notable reactions according to these versions.
Good luck this week and don’t forget to check my Daily options article.
On the date of publication, Gavin McMaster had a position in: Spy. All information and data of this article are only for information purposes. For more information, please consult the Barchart disclosure policy here.
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