Since the first vision of a robot appeared on the horizon of humanity, humans feared that automation has replaced the workforce in our dystopian future.
It generally follows a period of comfort, in which we are forced to believe that it will be a good thing, and that robots could really free us from the chore of daily work and free us for more pleasant brain activities. Futurist Jerry Kaplan, 63, is one of those optimists. He estimates that 90% of Americans will lose their jobs with robots and we should all be happy on this subject.
“If we can program machines to read X -rays and write news, so much the better. I say good riddling, ”said Kaplan. “Get another job!”
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Less discussed is the observation that inequality will be “a dark cloud” on this robotic rule period. The robots, admitted Kaplan, will belong to the rich. “The advantages of automation accumulate naturally to those who can invest in new systems, and it is people with money. And why not? Of course, they collect the awards, “he said.
“We don’t have to fly to the rich to give the poor. We must find ways to give entrepreneurs incentives. »»
A possible 90% unemployment solution would be mortgage loans, so that people moved by robots can take out loans to future benefits in unknown jobs. “People should be able to acquire new skills by borrowing against future profits capacity,” he said.
There will be a difficult period of transition during which massive unemployment will sweep the country. “The bad news is that it takes time for this kind of thing to happen.”
While artificial intelligence becomes more and more intelligent, some in the world of technology become nervous. Robots are Win complex games And Create art that sells thousands of dollars. There are fewer discussions in Silicon Valley to find out if it happens and more of what to do now: Y combinator, a technological investment vehicle which the founder is boasting of being in the field of inequality, recently launched Basic income experience To give a small allowance without hairstyle to people in preparation for an era when there are simply not enough jobs for humans.
Kaplan was there to give a positive turn to this future. With a doctorate in computer science specializing in artificial intelligence and a scholarship at the Center for Legal IT at the Stanford University Law School, he is an expert in good faith. Its argument for the future of jobs foreshadows how this next industrial revolution – inevitable, which is facilitated by very intelligent robots – will be sold to the masses.
“Machines automatize tasks, not work. Many of these tasks require a simple logic or a look-in coordination, ”said Kaplan. “If your work requires a narrow set of tasks, then your job is in danger.”
He contrasted the tasks of authorized nurses (a long list of activities that involve empathy and problem solving) with mason’s tasks (installation of bricks). Kaplan has put a slide to show what he considers the future workplace. On the slide, there is something that looks like Pac-Man eating a lawyer, a driver and a doctor. Behind that, he spat “online reputation manager” and blogger.
“It doesn’t aggravate society, it makes it better,” he said. “It can only take 2% of the population to accomplish what 90% of our pop is doing today. So what? “”
He said that new jobs would emerge and cite the fact that his daughter’s work had not existed 10 years ago – she is responsible for social media.
Kaplan has mentioned other job options that will remain: tennis professionals, parties’ planners, flowers of flowers and entrepreneurs.
“No one wants to go to a robotic Undertaker,” he said. “Can you imagine?
Although robots can take a job, they would not consciously do it, so that we can stop worrying about it: “Robots do not think how people think. There is no convincing evidence that they are on the way to become sensitive beings. »»
“AI is simply a natural expansion of longtime efforts to automate tasks,” he said.
“Robots do not cook and do not make beds. They have no independent objectives and desires, “he said. “They do not marry our children.”