Frontier Technologies has come to the occupation of the front of the scene in geopolitical discussions and national strategies in recent years. In 2025, the trepidations associated with the establishment of domination in sectors such as artificial intelligence are apparent through various high -level projects and initiatives announced by governments around the world. Large economies have expressed their ambitions to become the next superpower of AI or the most favored destination for the development and deployment of AI. In addition, AI scaling laws are retained with increasingly powerful multimodal AI models published by companies like Openai, Anthropic and Meta. Technological innovations and the release of more powerful AI systems occur in the midst of increasing geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. In the light of the growing interpenetration of geopolitical and borders technologies, this article will highlight the emerging trends in policy and technology to be sought in the coming year.
Ai and the RGeopolitical tensions
The year started with AI becoming quickly involved in geopolitics, the new Trump administration identifier as a key engine for an American “golden age». Shortly after entering the White House, President Trump announced Stargate project With a budget of US $ 500 billion committed to developing AI infrastructure in the country thanks to collaboration with Openai. Stargate’s announcement was accompanied by a striking change in official rhetoric concerning the position of the American government on the development of AI. Over 2023 Executive command 14110 On the development and use of secure, safe, safe and trustworthy artificial intelligence, “said this change and the President’s insistence on the abolition of regulatory obstacles to American domination in the global development of AI. However, the Chinese model in depth R1 R1 quickly challenged the aspiration to technological unipolarity, pushing the technological stocks of a cliff and causing the Flat fall in the stock market in American history. The change in American policy and the AI -intensifying arms race have caused the emergence of a political landscape diverging on a global scale, with the The United States and the United Kingdom abstaining From the signing of the “promise of a trustworthy AI” in a “world of work” at the AI action of the AI of Paris 2025 co-organized by France and India. The summit also saw the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen WE$206 billion initiative To promote the development of AI in Europe, diverge from the historically pro-regulation approach in Europe.
The change in American policy and the AI-intensifying arms race caused the emergence of a political landscape diverging on a global scale, the United States and the United Kingdom refrain from signing the “ `trusting ia ” in a` `working world ” at the top of the AI 2025 action, co-antéged by France and India.
However, pro-security events on the sidelines of the summit, such as Canada and Japan, signing the European Commission Framework Convention On the AI and China that do not refrain from signing the commitment, said global AI security cooperation may not yet be a lost cause. However, the unpredictable trajectory of the development of AI still presents the risk of frontrunners like the United States and China moving away from the dialogues and global commitments on the security principles of the AI. The political tendency towards deregulation will cause jurisdictions such as the European Union to question its regulations based on risks such as the EU AI law to remain competitive with an increasingly galvanized us and a sector of Chinese AI which is advancing rapidly. In addition, the need to scale up national investments in AI will present another challenge to the security principles described in existing executives such as the 2021 United Nstages Educational, scientific and cultural organizationzation (UNESCO) Recommendation On the ethics of AI, the 2023 Declaration of Bletchley ParkTHE 2023 Global PARSHIP on artificial intelligence (GPAI) New Delhi declaration and the 2024 Declaration of Seoul.
IA agents
Since the “Chatgpt moment” in November 2022, the discourse and investment of the AI have been largely motivated by large and more powerful (LLM) models with additional modalities (video, audio, image generation, data analysis, etc.). However, as Jensen Huang, CEO (CEO) of NVIDIA pointed out Recent conferenceThe next phase of AI development will focus on agents of AI or agentics. In addition to having LLM capabilities, AI agents can perform a range of tasks using computers and networks. OPENAI published his agent named “operator” in January 2025 and his tool for “deep research” in February, which exceeded the expectations of criticism and analysts in the execution of operational tasks and Perform complex research. Industry leaders like Sam Altman (CEO, OpenAi) and Marc Benioff (CEO, Salesforce) predicted that AI agents joined the workforce “Make materially modify the production of (companies). “While the Cycle of the MEDA MEDIA CADING AI is stabilized following the accident caused by Deepseek R1 in January, the main developers of AI will continue to invest in AI agents with increasingly autonomous operational capacities. Expressing the potential of AI agents, Altman has suggested that the years to come will require serious discussions potentially “social contract“In global economies. If AI agents enter the labor market within the expected period, decision -makers and society can face the reality of dynamic labor market readjustment, requiring complete international discussions on future jobs.
Humanoid robotic
On the material front, 2025 is also promised as a significant year for quadruped and humanoid robotics due to the progress of AI and engineering, with industry experts suggesting that humanoids will be in houses chores by 2026. A 2024 report By Goldman Sachs said that the total addressable market for humanoids should grow 70% per year until 2035. China, the world’s largest market for industrial robots, embraces the ‘robot revolution“By offering residents and fiscal subsidies from the sector to robotics manufacturers. In the West, the world frontrunners of AI as OPENAI,, Meta And Tesla started to invest in research and development strategies to take advantage of their AI capabilities for robot training. Percées in AI and LLM in recent years have contributed to increased interest in robotics, and 2025 could become a inflection point. In February 2025, the IA figure announced that it would end its one -year partnership with Openai due to a ‘major breakthrough“It will lead to progress that” no one has ever seen on a humanoid “. Although no other information has been published concerning the breakthrough, the declaration has contributed to an increase in investor interests for the three -year company, which is now in talks to raise $ 1.5 billion in funding WE$39.5 billion evaluation.
Currently, the 15 main market leaders and notable participants in the robotics sector are exclusively Located in North America and China. Geo-economic tensions existing between the two nations will probably develop beyond the software side and the technology supply chain to encompass robotics. Despite being in a relatively emerging stage of development and relevance compared to substantial economic engines such as the advanced manufacturing of fleas, the integration of robots in sectors such as manufacturing and the service industry is about to accelerate international competitiveness in the technology sector. It is still too early to estimate the increase in robotics demand in the short and medium term. However, it is unlikely that the interest of the government and the private sector for robotics is fading in the absence of an innovation crisis, given the attraction of using robots to reduce labor costs and adapt to pressures of public spending caused by demographic quarters on all labor markets.
Ahead
The opening salvo of the year marked a reconstituted wheelbarrow for global technological superiority and competitiveness. The incessant pace of innovation and growth opportunities in the AI sector with more competent border models, AI agents and tools demonstrating Doctorate skill In some use cases, it is set to contest the adaptability of regulatory schemes. In addition, robotics emerges as a attractor of private and public investment, promising solutions for labor shortages and longitudinal demographic changes. As the year progresses, political decision-makers will have to take a renewed look at public-private partnerships and intergovernmental relations to maintain a certain degree of cooperation on issues such as responsible innovation and AI cross-border regulations. Existing executives such as the Bletchley 2023 declaration on IA security and the Seoul 2024 declaration, among others, can be tested by stress by large technological companies buried by deregulation policies and first in America from the Trump administration. Nevertheless, the intensification of technological rivalry between the United States and China in the shadow of a brewing trade war simultaneously creates new opportunities for international partnerships. The treaties signed on the sidelines of the AI of the AI of Paris’s action, alongside the spouse of the summit by France and India, indicate that geopolitical groups in contradiction with the American and Chinese spheres of influence can be “Not just participants but architects“From the emerging techno-polar world.
This comment originally appeared in Orf Middle East.
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